![]() ![]() Sheet: Only the simulation functions in the active Excel sheet will be used in the simulation model. Limit if possible your model to a single Excel sheet. ![]() Model limited to This option allows defining the size of the active simulation model. How to configure a Monte Carlo Simulation in XLSTAT? This is possible in XLSTAT-Sim by entering in the Run dialog box the correlation or covariance matrix between some or all the input random variables used in the model. If you know that two variables are usually related such that the correlation coefficient between them is 0.4, then you want that, when you do simulations, the sampled values for both variables have the same property. Simulation models can take into account the dependencies between the input variables described by distributions. Models can contain any number of these four elements.Ī model can be limited to a single Excel sheet or can use a whole Excel folder. For example, we might want to monitor the standard deviation of a result variable.Ī correct model should comprise at least one distribution and one result. Statistics allow tracking a given statistic as a result variable. The goal of computing the simulation model is to obtain the distribution of the result variables. They depend either directly or indirectly, through one or more Excel formulae, on the random variables to which distributions have been associated and if available on the scenario variables. Result variables correspond to the outputs of the model. Scenario variables allow to include in the simulation model a quantity that is fixed in the model, except during the tornado analysis where it can vary between two bounds. At each iteration of the computation of the simulation model, a random draw is performed in each distribution that has been defined. For example, you can choose a triangular distribution if you have a quantity for which you know it can vary between two bounds, but with a value that is more likely (a mode). XLSTAT gives a choice of more than 20 distributions to describe the uncertainty of the values that a variable can take. ![]() Simulation models are used in many areas such as finance and insurance, medicine, oil and gas prospecting, accounting, or sales prediction.įour elements are involved in the construction of a simulation model:ĭistributions are associated with random variables. XLSTAT-Sim allows you to define the distributions, and then obtain through simulations an empirical distribution of the input and output variables as well as the corresponding statistics. If some "result" variables depend of these "distributed" variables by the way of known or assumed formulae, then the "result" variables will also have a distribution. ![]() Simulation models allow us to obtain information, such as mean or median, on variables that do not have an exact value, but for which we can know, assume or compute a distribution. Before running the model, you need to create the model, defining a series of input and output (or result) variables. Monte Carlo Simulation is a module that allows building and computing simulation models, an innovative method for estimating variables, whose exact value is not known, but that can be estimated by means of repeated simulation of random variables that follow certain theoretical laws. Used for budgeting, allocation, scheduling, and more.What is a Monte Carlo Simulation in XLSTAT? Combines Monte Carlo simulation with sophisticated optimization techniques to find optimal solutions to uncertain problems. ![]()
0 Comments
![]() Purble Pairs is a classic matching game where you must uncover pairs of tiles with identical pictures. With each level becoming progressively more difficult, this game tests your memory skills as you try to remember each customer’s preferences. let us bake some wedding, birthday cream chocolate cake.In Comfy Cakes, you take on the role of a baker who must decorate cakes according to customer orders. Now let the world discover how amazing, fast and professional you are. Do not waste too much time and ingredients, make sure to match the customers order, then your cake is readyĪdded purble pairs second house, tile matching memory game. Make sure you get your mixed cake ingredient correctly. Use creamy, chocolate toppings, according to the customer order To make your cake even more tasty cooking cake, we press the control to move to the cake frosting and icing machine, the icing machine creates a sugary frosting to create sweet cooking games ,beautiful and delicious cake decorations.Īdd cake decorating toppings. After taking a look at the tasty cake order from the customer in the cake factory to make and cook in the games kitchen, press the automatic cake pan ejector, with different shapes, circular or cylindrical, square or heart(love) shaped baking pans, press the control to move to the automatic cake batter mixer with stirrer to mix cakes, the cake mixer mixes the eggs, milk ,flour, butter, flavour, cocoa powder with whatever added flavouring, to cook and bake your cake. The cake machines in our cake making factory games are good for dessert making even with cheesecakes or strawberry flavor. We have an array of cake machines for cooking and baking cakes. you will be using our fabricated, automatic batter mixer, which will help you to mix your butter, vanilla, chocolate cherries, flour, sugar and baking powder. To start making your, delicious cake with chocolate cherries and berries, tasty sugary frosting, which you will make in our creamy chocolate cake factory simulation game, transfer to our cake shop and deliver to the customer.įirst you look at the cake order given by the customer shown in the television (tv). ![]() Now lets get started with this blitz cake making games with many levels and different cake orders in cake kitchen. Make your baked cake in this cooking simulation game, then proceed with your cake delivery in style in this cake cooking game. you can create your cake stack based on the cake order you receive from the customer. The cakes move on a conveyor belt and they can can be automatically stacked, Make different cake stacking then send it to the oven to bake. Now you have something similar on mobile. We have sophisticated machines for fabrication of yummy cakes in our cake maker factory, we have the automatic baking pan ejector, we have the automatic dough mixer which mixes the batter mixture, mixing butter, flour, eggs milk and vanilla or chocolate flavor, then we have the automatic frosting machine and the cake toppings, strawberry and all, just like it is done in purble place cake game on laptop. we will be making yummy, delicious chocolate cakes with different toppings and cake frosting, In this cake factory we will also be making delicious wedding cakes and birthday cakes, we will be decorating with beautiful frosting decorations and icing, this is like purble place apk, the window's pc game, but you can now download on android phone. Ready to make creamy chocolate cakes, we welcome you to our creamy chocolate cake factory, here in our cake making factory game. ![]() ![]() ![]() Here the Damage and DMG abs by HP matters a lot, then DEF + DEX. M5 Aura, M1 berserk|| LPA+7 6%sword, 2% ABS by SP, 1500HP, 2-handed def +10%, Def+3, Evasion+3|| FMS+9 +18%avg, -6% skill, Animals+20%, Devils+6%, War+4, Nija+4 stones,||TH9lvl 1 war helmet dropped at V2) +20% animals|| Pentagon shield +6 +20 animals|| Ebony barcelet +4 +1000HP+4% Magic REZ|| Ebony Necklace +2, 30% HP REG+3% Piercing hits|| Jade Earrings+0 +20% animals||Leather boots +0 +1500 HP. Here jus sthe DEFENCE and HP matters, even with 0% Strong VS animals. I try with BM sura and Wep sura the same lvl, but they are not so fine. Oki MAX DEF is relative in my case - it can be a way higher, espatially +9 items, talismans, alchemy and etc. =)) Just single bonused items work perfectly! Thats it! No other bonuses are mentioned, because there is no others. I still want back that opportunity!!!Įasy dungeon: LVL 23 Mental M8 str MENTAL war for easy monkey dungeons with max def TPA+9 +3Def stone, 2k HP, Casting+6, fan def +10, 5% DMG abs by SP, 2 % dagger|| Traditional Helmet(TH +6 (lvl1 helmet dropped V2)+20%animals|| Sword (lvl 1 dropped at Groto 1 +9 clean, but bonuse later)+9 5% Piercing, Vit+8(important for mentals), Slowing+5%, Animals+20%, Devils+2%, Mob+3 Stone|| Battle shield +9 +10% animals|| Copper barcelet+6 20% animals,||Bamboo skin shoes +0 1500HP,||Wooden necklace+0 30% HP regeneraion +3% Piercing hits|| Copper Earrings+6 +10% animals. good not to say old but lets say good almost-present times to. I still do remember the times when GF switched from 4 channels to 6 channels. ![]() Only the creeps easy dungeon are slowing me, due to i can notchange character/ relog when im attacked from light minded monkeys who are equiped with some quriosity. Just for your evedance i personally clean 3 monkey dungeons 3 channels per around 30 seconds/ per channel. The nesting process takes time and some efforts to do it, but after few months You will personally evaluate the outcomes from You reffots, espatioally during change channels and characters and mostly during kill to get a loot based events. Its a boss hunting account.* All 5 chars are oriented to boss hunt! Here just 3 of them as a beginning!!! Note that all my characters are nested in the very same account. But if You wanna go and hunt for Monkey Eggs, then Read what You will need below: In order to farm Horse medals You can do it at first room in 1-2-5-30-45 minutes. There You need as much pure item`s defence and VIT+DEX, as You can get.įor new players its no sense to go there, unless they do have some decent gear. I will start with an old topic - Monkey Dungeons. So i propose a map by map selection with a shared specific details for gear(items) and strategy to go through. Everyone should have the same knowledge as some of us do. The present active info is spread only and only among that tight group of players. I totally dislike the strategy acepted from the most active guilds to share info only among their members and/or friends. I would like to share and exchange some in-game tips that will benefit everyone who browses this web site. Maybe the board team will support me in that idea. The general idea is to make map -by - map, level and location(coordinates) guidelines with the best spots to get some in-game loots during events and not only. My idea is to initiate a new hints and guideline tips for all the M2 UK comunity. I Would like to ask for help the board admins for some guidelines and tips how to do it. I know that there are tons of info over this web page, but according to my oppinion its ultra non-organized. I want initiate a new topic, regarding an in-game experience exhange. ![]() ![]() ![]() Select the meeting you are looking to begin and click on the “start” button. Select the “meetings” tab to find all of your scheduled meetings.Ģ. How to join a Scheduled meeting from the “Meetings” Tabġ. Enter in your meeting passcode, select “Join” and you will be ready to start the meeting. Note some meetings may have a passcode in order to get in, if this is the case, this screen will pop up. From here, enter in the Meeting ID number, your name and select the “Join” button on the lower right of the window to begin the meeting!ĥ. A box will open up asking for some more information to join your meeting. From the App’s home page pictured above, you can select the “Join” Icon to quickly join a meeting.Ĥ. (Instructions on how to sign in using SSO can be found here.)ģ. Login into Zoom using SSO (if you aren’t already signed in) to get to the home screen of the Zoom app.On a Mac, you can press Command + Space Bar to open the search feature. – On a PC, you can quickly search by pressing the Windows Key + S at the same time to open a search bar and searching for Zoom. You can quickly find by searching for Zoom on your computer. You can quickly join a meeting with a Meeting ID number or join a scheduled meeting from the meetings tab. After you click Computer Audio or Phone Call, you will see the meeting screen and you will be in the meeting.This article will show you how to open up the Zoom app on your computer and join a meeting two different ways.To do so, click Phone Call as shown below, and follow the instructions provided. If you are unable to use computer audio, it is possible to call a phone number and participate in the meeting using phone audio.You can host an unlimited number of video meetings with up to 100. Zoom makes it easy to start or join a secure video call with crystal-clear HD video and audio, and powerful collaboration features like screen sharing and annotation. Be sure to Test Speaker and Microphone to ensure your audio devices are working properly. Host a secure, free video conference call on any device, like your laptop, smartphone, tablet, or smart display. ![]()
![]() ![]() The arc is only 1/8" across from one end of the arc to the other. ![]() The Brause 66EF and the Brause 513 have the smallest bases (the part that fits into the holder). It is very slim and would need a tiny nib. Here is an instructional video from YouTube: I have the Ames Lettering Guide, but do not have a clue how to use it. Others bought them and found them useless, so you might ask around in your guild.Ĭlick here to see an instructional PDF file on how to adjust your oblique holder. Some people like them a lot and use them often. A Phantom Liner (Reflections) is a good tool if you have one. The lines can be brushed off after writing. Sharpen the pencil in a good hand pencil sharpener to a fine point. A soapstone pencil can be used for dark paper. The lines don't always disappear, so test out a sample first. Disappearing ink pens for fabric can be used. When you don't want to or can't use penciled guidelines: Test to make sure that the erasing is not noticeable, that it is not affecting the envelope or your letters. (You did put on your price list that lined envelopes, dark envelopes, metallic envelopes would cost more.)įor lined white or light colored envelopes, you can draw guidelines with pencil and then erase with a white plastic eraser. Help!įor difficult envelopes: too thick to use a light table with guidelines inserted in the envelope. ![]() I'm addressing invitations, but these envelopes are hard to work with. Instructions and helpful hints for using our calligraphic and bookbinding supplies. ![]() ![]() If this is the writer's thesis statement, then the essay should focus on details that are relevant to the hustle and bustle of city life, noises, and social activities available in the city versus on a farm. ![]() Something like: While city life and farm life have few similarities, city life provides the hustle and bustle of many people, distinct noises, and social opportunities that are different from that of farm life. This is a sentence that lets the reader know the topic and the argument the writer is making. That means writers need a strong thesis statement. Your thesis will help you determine the relevance, or irrelevance, of facts. Relevance helps determine which characteristics are worth comparing and contrasting. In order to make decisions about what to include, writers need to keep one thing in mind: relevance.
![]() ![]() I was feeling myself-and that’s the whole purpose. I was no longer worried about whether white girls twerking is cultural appropriation. ![]() The woman next to me demurred I was dropping it to the floor and sticking my tongue out. The beat for “Back That Azz Up” came on, and I was invited by the instructor (who was also black) to twerk against the mirror. At some point in my Ratchet Zooba class I decided that, at this moment, it didn't matter whether the people around me appreciated the music they were dancing to the way I did. It's a lot to wrap your head around-especially when you're sweaty and trying to stick to choreography. Black people and black culture deserve respect and support, especially now when there is so much divisiveness in America. For example, white women wearing dreadlocks inspired by "club kids" as an accessory on last year's Marc Jacobs runway? Not OK. There's a thin line between cultural melting pot and cultural appropriation. But there needs to be a respectful understanding of where the music and dances come from. I don't think that white girls booty popping, whether onstage or in a fitness studio, is inherently detrimental to black culture. It seems that ever since Miley Cyrus took twerking mainstream, it’s cool to be “ratchet.” There I am, the only woman of color in a studio run by white owners, where white instructors lead white participants through exercises to the music of black artists. If anything, I should be put at ease by songs and dances that are close to my heart, but more often I feel like I'm standing out. Today, I often feel that same kind of freakishness in hip-hop dance classes. “Can you teach me how to dance like that?” my classmates would ask. It called to mind my private school days when I was alternately gawked at and praised for my amazing ability to dance. I wanted something where I can twerk and have a good time and not be at the club,” says Rahmaan.īut I couldn't help but notice that not everyone in the studio seemed to get the same blast of nostalgia, and that some didn't know how to do the Wop or the Kid and Play.Īnd at first it bothered me to watch the women around me struggle to do dance moves that I learned from my friends before the days of YouTube. ![]() “My dad owned a nightclub, so I’ve been around music all my life. And I thought, ‘I’d love to learn “Crazy in Love” and “Get Me Bodied.' " So when she got laid off from a marketing position with Island Def Jam Music Group, Rahmaan hooked up with a couple of instructors via Craigslist to create exactly what she was looking for: sweaty cardio dance classes set to current hip-hop hits that mimicked the moves from the music videos. I was looking at a dance class to Beyoncé’s music, but they weren’t doing the choreography. ![]() “I was never really a hardcore fitness person. “I had just had my son, and I was trying to find ways to work out and lose the baby weight,” she tells SELF. Ratchet Zooba is one of five class types offered by Banana Skirt Productions (the name is a nod to the iconic black performer Josephine Baker), founded in 2014 by Akinah Rahmaan, a young black mother who really just wanted to dance to Beyoncé. It’s made even more acute when the teacher leads the class through watered down dance moves that don’t capture the essence of Bey’s fabulosity. And it feels downright strange to see it used as a hype song for HIIT, especially in a room full of women who probably have no idea what it’s like to feel insecure about kinky hair or wide noses. Lyrics like, “I like my baby hair with baby hair and afros I like my negro nose with Jackson Five nostrils,” speak to my culture and appearance as a black woman. Typically, I am the only woman of color in the room, which makes me cringe when songs like Beyoncé’s “Formation”-my summer 2016 theme song-come on. Awkward for me, that is I'm sure the other people in my workout classes don't even notice. Being a black woman in the predominantly white fitness scene of New York City, this is the norm. I can’t help but notice that the crowd lurking near the door is overwhelmingly white-cue the internal eye roll. It's 7:30 P.M., and I'm waiting in line for Throwback Ratchet Zooba, a hip-hop dance cardio class. ![]() ![]() ![]() Sub-spurs can represent subsidiary causes. This is the "backbone" of the "fish." Draw "spurs" from this "backbone" at about 45 degrees, one for every likely cause of the problem that the group can think of and label each. Label the arrowhead with the title of the issue to be explained. How: On a broad sheet of paper, draw a long arrow horizontally across the middle of the page pointing to the right. What: The fishbone technique uses a visual organizer to identify the possible causes of a problem.īenefits: This technique discourages partial or premature solutions and demonstrates the relative importance of, and interactions between, different parts of a problem. This example was created on the base of the figure from the website of the Iowa State University Center for Excellence in Learning and Teaching. The example "Ishikawa fishbone diagram" was created using the ConceptDraw PRO software extended with the Seven Basic Tools of Quality solution from the Quality area of ConceptDraw Solution Park. Environment: The conditions, such as location, time, temperature, and culture in which the process operates" Measurements: Data generated from the process that are used to evaluate its quality Materials: Raw materials, parts, pens, paper, etc. Machines: Any equipment, computers, tools, etc. Methods: How the process is performed and the specific requirements for doing it, such as policies, procedures, rules, regulations and laws People: Anyone involved with the process Causes are usually grouped into major categories to identify these sources of variation. Each cause or reason for imperfection is a source of variation. Common uses of the Ishikawa diagram are product design and quality defect prevention to identify potential factors causing an overall effect. "Ishikawa diagrams (also called fishbone diagrams, herringbone diagrams, cause-and-effect diagrams, or Fishikawa) are causal diagrams created by Kaoru Ishikawa (1968) that show the causes of a specific event. This cause-and-effect diagram example was redesigned from the Wikimedia Commons file: Ishikawa Fishbone Diagram.svg. ![]() ![]() In this image the girl’s pink shirt and the green background convert to a similar shade of grey – but adjusting the green slider to the left darkens the background and creates a more pleasing black and white image. The sliders allow you to create a custom black and white conversion for your photo and you can also adjust how similar value colors are converted. In some cases you may see little or no change when you drag a slider – this will happen if there is little or none of that color in the image. ![]() Drag a color slider to the left to darken areas in the image which are that tone and drag to the right to lighten them. You can use these to control how the colors in the photo are converted. When the Properties dialog appears you will see sliders for red, yellow, green, cyan, blue and magenta. So choose Layer > New Adjustment Layer > Black & White and click Ok to create the new adjustment layer. This removes the color from the image but you have no control over how it is converted.Ī better way to convert an image is to use a black and white adjustment layer. You can desaturate the image by choosing Image > Adjustments > Desaturate. You have a couple of choices when converting to black and white in Photoshop. On the other hand if you capture in color you will have the choice to convert the photo to black and white, but you will also have a color image in case you decide it looks better that way. So you will only ever have a black and white image. ![]() The reason is that when you capture in jpeg and have the camera set to black and white, all the color information is discarded when the image is saved and you can never get it back. If your camera saves photos as jpeg images, even if it can capture in black and white, it’s advisable to avoid this setting and instead shoot in color and convert later. Why you should shoot in color and convert to black and white Photoshop has some tools that you can use to convert your photos to black and white and I’ll show you what these are and the best way to do the conversion. Some photos that you take you’ll want to convert to black and white. ![]() ![]() All you need is a printer and some paper. You don’t need any special software or skills to use them. For example, if you download a budget planner template, you can add or remove categories to fit your budgeting needs.Īnother great thing about printable templates is that they are easy to use. You can edit them to fit your specific needs and preferences. One of the best things about printable templates is that they are customizable. Many different types of printable templates are available online, including calendars, to-do lists, budget planners, and more. They are pre-designed templates that you can download and print out for free. Printable templates are a great way to save time and money when creating documents. These templates save time, effort, and resources while ensuring a polished and professional finish. The options are virtually limitless, from organizational planners and to-do lists to artistic designs and business cards. They come in digital formats, often downloadable for free or at a minimal cost. Printable templates are pre-designed documents or patterns easily customized for various purposes. Free Printable Cut And Paste Worksheets.Free Printable Super Bowl Squares Template.Related Post : Free Printable Serenity Prayer Serenity Prayer Printable Hungry Happy Home ![]() 10 Best The Serenity Prayer Printable Version Printablee With the help of free printable templates, you can save time and money while still producing premium files. They are available in a variety of formats and can be utilized for both business-related and individual projects. In conclusion, Free Printable Serenity Prayer are an excellent resource for anyone seeking to produce professional-looking files and tasks rapidly and easily. This allows for a higher degree of personalization, which can be particularly beneficial for invitations and leaflets. Get Free Printable Serenity Prayerįree Serenity Prayer Printables Bible Study Printablesįurthermore, many Free Printable Serenity Prayer are personalized, allowing users to add their own text and images to the design. ![]() This can be particularly crucial for business-related documents, as a properly designed file can make a strong impression on prospective customers and consumers. A lot of these templates have actually been professionally created, suggesting that they are visually enticing and easy to check out. ![]() This can be particularly useful for those who are not acquainted with design software or who do not have the time to discover it.Īnother benefit of using Free Printable Serenity Prayer is that they are often really high quality. Instead of investing hours designing a file from scratch, users can just download a template and make any essential adjustments. Among the most significant advantages of using Free Printable Serenity Prayer is that they conserve time. ![]() |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |